

You are repeating marketing. First of all Polymarket isn’t against this, they have openly welcomed insider trading. They claim insiders have they best information and thus make the prediction better. Second, when we actually look at the data, it turns out sites like Polymarket are only marginally better than actual guessing. It has nothing to do with predicting anything, it’s just straight up betting. There have been a couple of outliers, but those turned out to be because of insiders heavily betting. They skewed the results a lot and that’s not prediction, those people knew the outcome. Third, these kinds of companies heavily influence the betting themselves, often “buying the other side of the contract”. This raises the stakes and increases engagement. Having it appear one side is favored, means people tend to pile on.
There’s plenty of good stories and videos about how fucked up these “prediction markets” actually are. John Oliver just did an episode on it. I would personally recommend this Patrick Boyle video for a good overview: https://youtu.be/e0nsou-1Q2k
Tldr: It’s all a huge scam and rigged betting.












The tiles mentioned are still around 20%, the headline is just misleading.
These rooftiles have major downsides as compared to regular rooftiles. You’d be much better off just installing regular rooftiles and putting solar panels on top of that. Like most people are already doing today. The only reason to go for these kinds of solar rooftiles is because of the esthetic. They make poor rooftiles and poor solar panels at the same time. And they are more expensive than any other solution.
I doubt these will ever become practical, let alone standard on all roofs. And neither should we really want to.