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Cake day: July 30th, 2023

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  • While it’s an improved situation, and really it’s Russia’s to lose at this point, not having US aid would be a fairly large functional hit to Ukraine. Specifically in the intelligence area, but even whatever the 400 million that the administration doles out from the USAI would be helpful. Ukraine’s debt continues to grow here and mitigating it is going to give Ukraine a better leg up in whatever this war endgame looks like.

    I do think that Russia will likely have a major fiscal collapse later this year and we may see the end of this by mid 2027, so the 90 Billion the EU loaned may be the winning stroke.



  • Those two resignations in quick succession Monday night amounted to a stunning flurry of accountability, and a sudden turn in a months-long saga for the Texas Republican. Though Gonzales had faced calls from his own party leadership to abandon his reelection bid, he had until Monday been able to remain in his job.

    House GOP leaders knew they couldn’t afford to lose his vote and had privately acknowledged that losing him would hurt their voting margin, making it much harder to accomplish Trump’s agenda. (Johnson has not been in favor of expelling members in the past, which he has said required a complete investigation by the House Ethics Committee.)But the calculation inside the GOP began to change as Democrats appeared increasingly likely to back expulsion for their own member, Swalwell, as he faced allegations of sexual misconduct, including from a former aide.

    Many of the most vocal lawmakers — including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna of Florida, who had notably called to expel Gonzales even though it would hurt the GOP’s margins — are also involved in Congress’ ongoing investigation into how the federal government mishandled the investigation into serial abuser Jeffrey Epstein.

    The dramatic push for resignations marked a stunning moment on Capitol Hill.