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Cake day: May 7th, 2023

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  • Russia has employed lying in propaganda in and out of the context of war since the beginning and before it

    Such as?

    You have to look for the facts and indications beyond the propaganda without being distracted by the propaganda or trying to meta-analyze it.

    How exactly would that work? Are you assuming that there is some objective truth that is somehow magically outside the realm of propaganda? How would we access this truth?

    I haven’t noticed such systematic lying beyond what I would expect in wartime propaganda from Ukraine.

    How about overstating Russian casualties by at least 6 to 1? How about celebrating and crowing about the disastrous counter-offensive in Kursk? What about completely ridiculous and insane air defense shoot down percentages they claim even while not having any air defense interceptors?

    Press landscape is its own share of issues and part of what makes propaganda so important, effective, and necessary.

    I completely agree that propaganda is an essential front in war. Do you actually believe that the media is in any way independent from that? Have you observed that Western outlets simply cite Ukrainian propaganda uncritically? (see: Russian casualties as a glaring example)

    Ukraine has losses, but, with its limited resources, Ukraine is also very successful in defending

    No, this is incorrect. When the war started, Ukraine massively outnumbered Russian forces on the field. (Roughly 800k versus 200k). Over the course of this war they have squandered every advantage by literally fighting like Nazis. By that I mean refusing to withdraw from positions being encircled and wave after wave of hopeless counter-attacks that are accelerating their force attrition. Even Sirski is forced to admit that the UA is shrinking, while the number of Russian forces in the field is growing.

    and striking into Russia.

    Yet Russian oil exports continue to grow. Perhaps these attacks on Russian energy infrastructure are not as successful as the Western media would have you believe.

    And to retain support, they have to utilize propaganda/publicity, to stay in the public and international eye, and continue to receive support. And they’re very effective in that too.

    I certainly agree that Ukraine has been effective in promulgating their propaganda narratives in the western press. Of course they have a lot of help from Western intelligence


  • The recent Iran riots literally followed the exact same playbook.

    • Latch onto a peaceful protest movement with legitimate grievances.
    • Flood the streets with foreign agents and agitators.
    • Escalate violence against responding police forces, leading to days of pitched street battles.
    • Just completely make up whatever number you feel like about how many people were killed, and then it’s now your convenient talking point to do whataboutism anytime the country is mentioned.
      • Notice how the number keeps going up without any citation or evidence? Now Hegseth is saying 45,000, no doubt it will grow to 100,000 before long.

    Does anyone remember what actually happened to “Tank Man”? We are led to believe that the tanks simply rolled the guy over. The extended footage shows that they tried to route around him, there was a standoff and then he left.

    Have you seen the big dump of photos of Tiananmen? Suspiciously high number of murdered police for a peaceful protest, eh?


  • When I say the word propaganda I mean it in the technical sense “information crafted into a narrative and spread for a political purpose”.

    A YouTuber I follow called Willy OAM says that the winning side’s propaganda will exaggerate and the losing side’s will fabricate. I think this is a perfect example.

    The Russians announced that they had taken Kupiansk. In retrospect this was premature (exaggeration). In response Zelensky claimed in the caption to his picture that Ukraine had retained full control over Kupiansk, while providing for proof a picture taken 3 km southwest of the western bridgehead and other key central areas of the city (fabrication). Even (honest) mappers that are pro-Ukrainian did not find this evidence compelling to support his claim, but of course the Western press uncritically reported it as fact and a great embarrassment to the Russians.

    Now, months later (at the start of the spring offensive) the Russians are pushing out from the bridgehead into Western Kupiansk. Moreover, they have been taking huge swaths of territory southeast of Kupiansk on the east side of the Oskil (this is the region where the starved defenders from the article were/are). Are those same Western outlets coming forward to say say they were wrong about Kupiansk? Do you think that will ever happen? Or will it be like Pokrovsk where they were still pretending the city is in contention when the contact line is tens of kilometers to the northwest?










  • Derivatives is a blanket term that refers to a variety of complex financial “bets” that are available to “sophisticated investors”. It’s worth knowing that the derivatives market is over ten times larger than the value of all the stocks in the US stock market, at ~$850 trillion with a T. This definitely won’t cause any systemic issues like it did last time